Know the moment
crypto turns dangerous.

A risk alarm for people who trade crypto with leverage. It watches Bitcoin every second and messages you the moment the next hour turns high-risk, with your odds and what to check.

That one of two things happened in the last hour. Bitcoin swung 0.84% or more inside half an hour, or heavy buying or selling hit it while the market was already jumpy. On our record, a 0.5% move against your position within 20 minutes then happens 11.4% of the time. When it is calm, 2.1%.

The market is calm about 77% of the time and high-risk about 23%.

The two are not equally dangerous. When only heavy buying or selling opened the hour it is 5.8%. Once Bitcoin is swinging it is 14.0%. The live reading and every alert show the number for the kind it is.

No. Nobody can tell you that honestly. The alert says whether it was heavy buying or heavy selling, because that already happened. Price keeps going that way only 52.5% of the time, which is barely better than a coin flip. Use the alert to protect your position, not to pick a side.

No. It reacts as a move starts, not before. Price has usually moved about 0.16% in the five minutes before an alert, and a price swing has by definition already happened.

What it tells you is that the hour you are now in is different. Price moves another 0.5% or more within the hour after 6 in 10 alerts, against 3 in 10 in a normal hour, and it usually gets there after the first five minutes, not in them.

One thing is known beforehand: the clock. See the next question.

The 25 minutes after the US stock market opens are the riskiest of the day for Bitcoin. Over three years, a big move started in them on almost half of all trading days. In any other 25 minutes it is fewer than 1 in 10. On days that exchange was shut: 1 day in 31.

So 15 minutes before the opening bell, on every trading day, we send one short message with the odds: about 3 days in 10 when the market is quiet, about 7 in 10 when Bitcoin is already swinging. We send one before the US inflation report, the jobs report and the Fed’s decisions too.

It is a time on the clock and how often a big move has followed. It is not a forecast: some days nothing happens, and it never says which way.

No. We tested 216 ways of trading them, following the alert and going against it, with different stops and targets. None made money after fees. This is a risk alarm. It does not trade, hold your money, or touch your exchange account.

Keep them. Your chart shows you where price is. A liquidation map shows you how much is stacked above and below. Neither tells you that the next hour is more dangerous than usual, by how much, and when it ends. This does, and nothing else.

Mostly, yes. Big moves come in clusters, and the alert tells you that you are standing in one. Compared with another moment that was just as wild in the last five minutes, an alert adds nothing extra. So there is no trading edge here, and we don’t sell one.

One of the two things that turn an hour high-risk is simply Bitcoin swinging hard. We measured it: on its own it marks the dangerous hours better than our own order-flow alerts do, so we use both.

What you get is being told at once, at any hour, with the odds and the time it ends, without watching a screen.

About 6 a day: 5 when heavy buying or selling hits a jumpy market, and about 1 when a price swing turns the hour high-risk by itself. If an hour runs on past the time we gave you, one short message says so. About 1 day in 18 there is nothing.

On trading days there is also one heads-up, 15 minutes before the US stock market opens, and one before each big US report or Fed decision: three or four of those a month.

We only send what raises the risk. Alerts in a calm market are still graded and kept on the record.

Yes, even more. The alert is read from Bitcoin, but the big coins move together. In a high-risk hour, a 0.5% move against you within 20 minutes happens 19.0% of the time on ETH and 24.8% on SOL, against 11.4% on Bitcoin.

Yes. The engine watches every second and can alert at any hour, weekends included.

If it ever loses its data feed, the page says “no reading”. It never says calm when it cannot see.

Pro adds a second message five minutes after every alert. It tells you whether the hour is going quiet or heating up, with the odds for each. You also get the signal strength, an order-book note and the result of every hour once it is over.

It is $12 a month or $99 a year for the first 200 members, and you keep that price for as long as you keep renewing. After that it is $24 a month. You pay once for 30 days or a year, and nothing renews by itself. The free plan is not a trial and never expires.

Yes. Press “Get browser alerts” at the top of this page, or under the live risk level. Your browser will ask once, and after that a notification arrives on that device the moment a high-risk hour starts, even when this page is closed. No app, no account, and you can turn it off with the same button.

It is your device’s own notification: a pop-up with your device’s own sound. A website cannot choose the sound, and it cannot get past Do not disturb, Focus or a muted phone. On a computer your browser has to be running. Once it is on, press “Send a test” to see and hear it for yourself.

On an iPhone, first add this page to your Home Screen (Share, then “Add to Home Screen”) and open it from there.

Because an alarm nobody hears protects nobody. And because we would rather you watch it work for a few weeks than take our word for it.

No. Every alert is graded and kept, including the ones where nothing happened. Every number on this page is measured on all of them.

Yes, for desks and bots. Signed webhooks, filters and a delivery log, sold on invoice with 30 days to test first. Ask for a test key.